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May 27, 2010

The US Missile deployment in Poland & Reactions

The US decision to deploy patriot missile manned by US troops in Poland, close to the Russian borders will definitely have an immediate reaction from Russia. What we can look for ward to is a renewed support to Iran’s nuclear agenda by Russia. As has been announced by the US, a consensus had reached between the US, Russia and China as to what sanctions should served to the Iranians as penalty for continuing with their Nuclear ideas. This was immediately after the agreement between Turkey, Brazil & Iran to swap a major chunk of Iran’s Uranium stock with Turkey in exchange for enriched Uranium for Iran’s Medical Isotopes production.

It is clear that US is not exactly happy with this deal. The reasons should be that – the entire Uranium stock is not up for exchange as per the deal, and Iran is still capable of enriching the remaining Uranium for an alleged nuclear weapons program. – The fact that developing countries took a stand against proposed sanctions and were able to convince Iran on the swap deal may not have gone down very well with the US think Tanks. – Also US not figuring anywhere in the whole exchange itenary may also be a reason for dissatisfaction @ the US side.

Reading together Iranian Presidents statement calling for Russia to take a firm stand in favour of its “friendly and peaceful neighbour”, on its non-military nuclear agenda; and the US deployment of Patriot Missile systems in Poland, very close to Russian military base in Kaliningrad, it is clear that a fitting reply from Russian against the US move, where it hurts the most, would be back tracking from the agreement reached with it on sanctions against Iran and taking a pro-Iranian stand in its nuclear program. Given the fact that Russia had earlier announced its plan to complete the work on Busheshr Nuclear by August , indicates a move in this direction.

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